Wednesday, November 4, 2009

Election Night 2009 Final.

Well I was right about Virginia, Maine, California, and Washington. I got New Jersey and New York wrong. I wish I had been wrong on Maine.


The pundits will be crowing a big win for the Republicans tomorrow, but not so fast my friend. Though the Republican did pick up both Governorships, the big races were split 3-3, more importantly the democrats actually PICK UP A FORMER REPUBLICAN SEAT IN THE HOUSE. This will give them another vote to deploy for health care. Let's just put it this way, a democrat had not one in NY-23 since the Civil War. Tonight, thanks to Glenn Beck and Sarah Palin, that's all changed. Beck and Palin thought they could ride into town in NY and tell the folks to rebel against Obama and elect a tea-bagger. Oops. Palin wakes up tomorrow with egg on her face over this. If this really is a preview of 2010, bring it on, because if the nut jobs like Palin and Beck have their way, the GOP is headed for a blood-bath of a civil war that will be splitting votes all over the country.

Though I called the loss in Maine, it makes me sad. It makes me sad that anyone's rights could be taken away by a vote.

However, but wins for Democrats in California and Washington. Plus, an anti-tax tea-bagger ballot measure was soundly defeated in Maine.

What do we take away from this?

1. Many, many Americans are still afraid of Gay Marriage. This issue will likely become a third rail in politics now, and candidates will be very loathe to come out in favor of Gay Marriage. That's why Obama isn't touching it, he wants to get reelected.

2. The votes in NJ and VA were on the poor economy and general malaise at incumbent parties. 60 percent of voters in those states said Obama was NOT a factor in their choice. This was NOT a referendum on Obama.

3. The tea-baggers have even less clout than they thought they did. Palin's outside influence did NOTHING in NY 23 except hand the seat to the democrats. Keep it up Sarah. Go rogue a little more.

No comments: